Case study - b2b distributor

Reigniting Growth with RFM Segmentation & WinBack Campaigns

I helped a B2B manufacturer and distributor recover declining sales by building RFM-based segments, prioritizing high-value customers, and launching a WinBack test that converted dormant accounts.

35%
Prior Attrition rate of target accounts
259%
Higher AOV for Target Accounts
4.7%
WinBack Rate of target accounts

The Client & Challenge

This case study focuses on a distributor that sells technical rescue gear, PPE, and tactical equipment. Despite a strong product assortment and loyal customer base, sales had softened and the team lacked a clear view of customer value and engagement.

Customer attrition was rising, and the sales and marketing teams didn’t have a unified way to see who was a Champion, who was At Risk, and who was truly Lost — which made it difficult to prioritize outreach or design targeted WinBack efforts.

Quick Facts

• Model: B2B eCommerce + Inside Sales
• Target Audience: Fire/Rescue, Tactical, Government
• Challenge: Sales softening vs prior growth trend
• Gaps: No RFM segmentation, limited visibility into who is at risk or lost among their core, target audience

Objectives

Here’s how I structured the engagement: first, make the customer base visible through RFM segmentation; second, focus on the highest-value customers; third, design a repeatable WinBack program that can scale.

segmentation

Create Actionable Customer Segments

Build an RFM model to classify customers into Champions, Loyal, Recent, New, At Risk, and Lost, so the team can clearly see who to nurture and who to win back.

prioritization

Prioritize Target Customers

Separate target from non-target customers and focus first on the segments with the highest AOV and strategic importance, winning back Lost and At-Risk target accounts.

launch

Launch a Repeatable WinBack Program

Design and test a WinBack campaign using personalized email outreach, measure quote-to-order behavior, and build a playbook that can scale via CRM and Outlook automation.

RFM Segmentation

Recency, Frequency, and Monetary scoring makes it possible to grade every customer based on how recently they purchased, how often they purchase, and how much they spend. This gives us visibility into who is worth nurturing, who is at risk, and who we should win back. Scale used was 1-5, with 1 being lowest and 5 being highest.

Recency (R)

How recently a customer placed an order.
Customers who ordered recently are more likely to reorder.

Frequency (F)

How often a customer buys. Repeat purchases signal loyalty potential.

Monetary (M)

How much a customer has spent.
Higher spenders are more valuable to retain and nurture.

Champions

Customers who have bought recently, buy frequently, and spend the most.

Loyal

Customers who bought recently, buy frequently, though spend less than Champions.

Recent

Customers who bought recently, though less frequently and have 2+ orders.

New

Customers who first purchased in last 90 days, with no more than 2 orders in 90 days.

At Risk

Customers with low recency scores, and average frequency and monetary scores.

Lost

Customers who have the lowest recency, frequency and monetary scores.

The takeaway

Segmentation was the easy part. The recovery came from personalizing the messaging tactics by customer segment — using RFM to separate Champions from Lost, then targeting At-Risk and Lost accounts with the highest strategic value.

A 4.7% WinBack rate isn't a mass-email number.  It's what happens when personalized outreach goes to specific, dormant, high-AOV accounts instead of the whole list. Visibility into who mattered came first; the campaign followed.